Here is an interesting view of commodities and the COT data

Here is an interesting view of commodities and the COT data. Following are all the long term charts
that I post on this site, and scrolling down the list can often provide valuable long term outlooks.

George Slezak

The data for the COT in the Dollar Index from the CFTC has not been reported regularly in 1999 and 2000 because of a rule change in reporting requirements. The chart is shown below for general information about currencies, the COT data should not be considered accurate.

The following chart of the CRB has the "%cot" index plotted

The following chart combines the COT data for the S&P 500, E-Mini S&P (data totals divided by 5 because the contract is one fifth the size of the full), NASDAQ 100, E-Mini ND 100 (one fifth of the data), and the DJ Future.

Beginning with the March 2000 futures contract, the contract is on a 5 yr note with 6% interest rate. Prior futures contracts reflected an 8% interest rate. The prices in the chart below are shown at 92.18% prior to December 1999 to reflect the contract specification change.

Beginning with the March 2000 futures contract, the contract is on a 10 yr note with 6% interest rate. Prior futures contracts reflected an 8% interest rate. The prices in the chart below are shown at 88.87% prior to December 1999 to reflect the contract specification change.

Beginning with the March 2000 futures contract, the contract is on a bond with 6% interest rate. Prior futures contracts reflected an 8% interest rate. The prices in the chart below are shown at 81.99% prior to December 1999 to reflect the contract specification change.